Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.036706 0.042542 0.049016 0.056731 0.065679 0.075734 0.087901
2026-01-04 0.027687 0.035358 0.044727 0.057023 0.072755 0.092240 0.118258
2026-01-11 0.022265 0.030623 0.041612 0.057140 0.078566 0.107166 0.148378
2026-01-18 0.018849 0.027549 0.039699 0.057945 0.084736 0.122773 0.181145
2026-01-25 0.016544 0.025480 0.038626 0.059431 0.091667 0.139946 0.218196
2026-02-01 0.013977 0.022543 0.035739 0.057615 0.093163 0.148983 0.243952
2026-02-08 0.012240 0.020588 0.033999 0.057193 0.096555 0.161096 0.275888
2026-02-15 0.010795 0.018875 0.032363 0.056622 0.099474 0.172604 0.308127
2026-02-22 0.009843 0.017844 0.031693 0.057528 0.104915 0.188878 0.350606
2026-03-01 0.008848 0.016594 0.030461 0.057232 0.108100 0.201462 0.387943
2026-03-08 0.007824 0.015148 0.028682 0.055670 0.108682 0.209263 0.417173
2026-03-15 0.006939 0.013848 0.027004 0.054057 0.108903 0.216308 0.445696
2026-03-22 0.006455 0.013281 0.026680 0.055101 0.114593 0.234879 0.500419
2026-03-29 0.005937 0.012580 0.026009 0.055360 0.118728 0.250881 0.552125
2026-04-05 0.005464 0.011909 0.025313 0.055468 0.122540 0.266654 0.605495
2026-04-12 0.005103 0.011432 0.024957 0.056248 0.127888 0.286336 0.670249
2026-04-19 0.004832 0.011116 0.024906 0.057690 0.134882 0.310485 0.748596
2026-04-26 0.004344 0.010246 0.023529 0.055928 0.134267 0.317292 0.786764
2026-05-03 0.004005 0.009681 0.022773 0.055518 0.136784 0.331673 0.845375
2026-05-10 0.003691 0.009137 0.021998 0.054964 0.138868 0.345257 0.903855
2026-05-17 0.003495 0.008856 0.021816 0.055844 0.144630 0.368559 0.990648
2026-05-24 0.003248 0.008419 0.021204 0.055557 0.147369 0.384583 1.060409
2026-05-31 0.002960 0.007839 0.020167 0.054041 0.146690 0.391701 1.106932